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The U.S. State Department: Russia prepares aggression against the USA by hand of Chukchi people

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The truth of history: Wehrmacht, just as SS, slaughtered and raped on a mass scale

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The USA and other organizers of anti-Russian sanctions stand up for Nemtsov's murder

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And again about the “Kirghiz” center...

The development of Central Asia which was spent by Russia in XIX century, was going through Siberia. The fortresses and outposts were under construction around present border with Kazakhstan to protect the Siberian settlements from attacks of aggressive nomads. After one and a half centuries the history can repeat...

Because now the main military and political intrigue of Central Asia of the given time is the question whether can the Provisional government of Kyrgyzstan repulse an attack of the Bakiev who are avid for revanche?

The seeming calmness established in Central Asia after the rough events of the end of 80th - the beginning of 90th of XX century is deceptive. The experts, who have first-hand knowledge of a situation in region, confirm: «This calm is before a storm». The former Russian Turkestan represents a mass of the acutest contradictions. The most obvious danger is the future expansion of Islamic extremists. It is already obvious that leaving of forces of the USA and allies from Afghanistan is a matter of time. The victory of "Taliban" becomes inevitable after the lowering of star-striped flag over Kabul and the following object of an Islamic impact would be an ancient Maverannahr where the radical Islam has taken roots as a spiritual basis of opposition for the last decades. Whether can the poor armed and trained Uzbek, Kirghiz, Tajik forces and not numerous Russian corps restrain the Afghan invasion? The question is rhetorical. The factor of penetration of state capitals of the Celestial Empire into the region is less appreciable but not less important. Beijing slowly but surely crushes under itself the Central Asian deposits and comes into closer contacts with local political elite. It causes the growing anxiety of the USA and Russia. In general, the states of the region became the hostage in a game of the great powers, the interests of which face especially sharply in this part of a planet. The relations between the states of Central Asia aren't unclouded. The new economic problems are imposed on the old national conflicts: struggle for water resources, pastures, mineral deposits. All that is against the background of the progressing poverty, a population explosion, growth of national and religious intolerance. All together creates the favourable circumstances for the Big Conflict. However, the main trouble and "fuse" for «the Central Asian bomb» is the corruption of local political elite. It is ready to take the extreme measures in the struggle for the power and resources.

It is not necessary to go far to cite an example. The recent events in the south of Kyrgyzstan obviously have shown how the world is fragile in that region. After the revolution of mass in Bishkek, the rejected president Bakiev has tried to take cover in the south of the country, having made the base of Osh city. However, it was not possible to carry out the plan and he ran abroad with the family and property. However, the southern Kyrgyzstan was captured by the real ethnic war after several months. The local Kirghiz, secretly and obviously supported by the regional authorities, have begun «clean-up operation of the territories» from the Uzbek, who compactly live here. The result was a full anarchy, marauding, thousands of crushed and burned houses, hundreds (or thousands according to some information) of the killed including the women and children. Practically at once the version has been voiced that behind the pogroms there is «a third force» represented by a family of Bakiev headed by the son of the former president Maxim. This person is amusing in all respects. For a long time Maxim Bakiev was named in Kyrgyzstan as «Corruptionist No.1». He managed to gather a wealth which numbered the hundreds of million dollars for the years of presidency of his father. It is considered that the most part of the Russian tranche in 300 million dollars has settled in the pockets of younger Bakiev. However, the son of the president has become famous not only for the blood relations but also special relations with financial circles of Great Britain and the USA. It is considered, that exactly Maxim Bakiev was a conductor of interests of the West in Kyrgyzstan during all these years. It is not surprising that after M.Bakiev's escape from Bishkek, he was sheltered namely by London, where, as well as from Don, «no extradition».

It seemed that you can drink, have a rest, carouse and spend the money taken away from the native land. But M.Bakiev continues to mature the ideas of a revanche. It is found out even the sums which he supposedly inserted into «the pogroms of Osh», namely 10 million dollars. There is a natural question: for what purpose he did that? The Kirghiz political scientists offer a quite logical explanation of activity of the son of the former president. According to A.Saidov, tens of the most perspective Kirghiz enterprises have passed to the son for years of Bakiev’s government. It is possible to bring millions of dollars to London but was difficult to carry over the factories and gold mines there. Having destabilizing the situation in the south of the country, the Bakiev prepare ground for division of Kyrgyzstan into two independent states. The North of republic doesn’t accept the Bakiev but has many supporters in the South. The disorders and interethnic collisions presume to make their triumphal returning to the country. This variant seems quite realistic also because the USA and Great Britain will be not against the preservation of the political clientele in region.

And what the other interested parties? China keeps a neutrality, expecting to support the winner. Russia has obviously opposed the dictatorships of Bakiev and has entirely trusted in Provisional government. Whether the Russian hopes however have been justified? Bishkek has shown extreme indecision during of the pogroms of Osh. The collision has outgrown into a slaughter as a result of lack of will of the official persons. There is a natural question, whether the new authorities can control a situation in the country in the conditions of growth of interethnic and political pressure? It is not enough to take the power but necessary also to keep it.

There are bases to believe that in case of inertial development of a situation, Kyrgyzstan will remain the decaying center of intensity and the weakest link of the Central Asian geopolitical chain covering the Russian Siberia from a storming sea of the militant Islamic states. The political future not only of Kyrgyzstan but also all region depend on whether the new provisional government can keep a situation under control, show political constancy and consistency.

Viewed : 645   Commented: 0

Author: Карновский Юрий Зиновьевич

Publication date : 01 January 1970 07:20

Source: The world and we

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