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Breakdown of congress of IPM “OCEAN” is indicative special operation against processes of Eurasian integration?

The 2nd congress of the International Public Movement “Open Confederation of the European and Asian People” had to take place. It was planned that at this congress the extremely actual and essentially new approaches to permission of the basic problems existing in domestic and foreign policy of Ukraine will be proclaimed on July 26, 2013 in Kiev.

It is known that one of the main problems of the Ukrainian society is its split in the direction of integration aspirations. One half of citizens of Ukraine supports the integration into structures of the Customs Union, other half - integration into EU structures. Traditionally this division is presented as irreconcilable.

The international group of experts developed the strategy which approaches in essentially new way to the solution of this “irreconcilable” contradiction.
Due to the existence of objective tendencies on rapprochement of the Russian and European geopolitical poles, the International Public Movement “Ocean” insists on declaration of a role of Ukraine as active initiator of rapprochement between Europe and Russia that will allow to create essentially new and extremely influential integration formation on the Eurasian space - from the Pacific to the Atlantic Ocean.

In such look it will be able successfully to compete with “Confucius” and “American” civilization poles.

But probably such statement of a question infringes on interests of numerous forces to which disappearance of opposition of Europe and Russia, both in Ukraine and on all Eurasian space isn't favorable.

The 2nd congress of the International Public Movement “Ocean” was broken and it was according to the verified and accurate scenario. Vladimir Aleksandrovich Shevchenko, one of chief analysts and ideologists of this international movement tells about this situation and the fundamental principles of activity of “OCEAN”, in the past - the high-ranking employee of National Security Council and Defence of Ukraine and the senior expert of National institute of strategic researches.

- What laid down in a basis of ideology of the International Public Movement “OCEAN”?

- Within preparation of the basic conceptual provisions of the International Public Movement “OCEAN” the long-term researches of leading world experts and also own practices concerning the main geopolitical tendencies on the Eurasian continent were used. These tendencies consist in strengthening of integration processes between EU and Russia which has united round a number of the countries of the former Soviet Union.

Within this vision a role of Ukraine is very important. Our country has to be as “crystallization point” of new space of safety and cooperation from Atlantic to Kuriles.

Relevance of similar approach to foreign policy of our country is dictated by existence of the two-polar gap existing now in Ukraine when a half of the population supports integration into the Customs Union and a half - for integration into EU. It puts huge risks for state development, up to possibility of its disintegration.

- Whether this approach coincides with current world trends?


- The main tendency existing now on the world scene is the merge of the certain states in large geopolitical poles and the competition between them. At first the certain countries form common markets as in the European Union or the Customs Union and then the mechanisms of closer integration are developed, the quasi-public formations are formed which, naturally, more competitive on the world scene. And already certain country can't independently resist in competitive fight to association of the countries.

Association in such poles happens, first of all, on the basis of mental similarity which become often more important than economic factors. For example, Turkey seeks to enter EU for many years, but it occurs not for the economic reasons, but because of discrepancy of a mental basis.

In the next years the main competition on the continent of Eurasia will happen between a Confucius pole which now covers all South East Asia (where all production moves nowadays) and a Christian pole (in broad understanding of this word), having in the basis cultural tradition of Ancient Greece, Rome, Jerusalem, Byzantium. And even earlier - an Aryan and Tripolsk cultural basis.

It is very difficult to combine these models at this stage of the development of the world.
Thus, there are global mental communities (clusters) within which closer economic and all other connections are built.

- To build the real prospects and successfully to compete on the world scene we have to understand the features of this future association of the countries (cluster) in which we are...

- Now this cluster is separate and broken off. Objectively, there is the “Eurasian” or “Russian” pole (Russia rose after disorder of the USSR and united the part of the former federal republics round itself) in its framework. Also there is the “European” pole, the European Union, strong developing formation. But these two formations, according to leading world analysts, separately aren't capable to compete with the third continental pole – “Confucius”.

Its power surpasses the power of separate poles “Russian” and EU in times. If not to change a situation, in 10-15 years this process becomes irreversible and nothing remains from their independent development on the space of “European” and “Russian” pole, taken separately. The Confucius pole will dominate at an economic level.

And the crisis which began in 2008 and the end to which isn't visible became a visible example of that. It differed from all other crises which were before. It is the crisis of total economic non competitiveness of the European civilization (in its broad understanding, including here both Russia and other Post-Soviet countries) in relation to a Confucius pole.

The process of mental domination will inevitably begin also behind the economic domination.

If we want to keep the economic independence, cultural and spiritual identity, we have to correspond to world processes. And world process, for the objective reasons, goes to “tightening” of the European and Russian poles to one.

There is an extensive analytics about it. Only in Ukraine some institutes at the highest level are engaged in it, the set of materials which are already realized in different programs is acquired.
There are direct appeals to create such cluster, proceeding from leaders of Russia and the leading European states.

- So what is a problem, if the process objective and obvious?


- The Ukrainian politicians seek not to notice this process and to do the public relations on confrontation: “we are for Europe – go away from Moscow”, “we are on friendly terms with Russia and there is no place for Europe with its same-sex marriages”.

The pronounced and obvious counteraction from outside is carried out to integrative process between EU and Russia. We released the research in which the events of 2004-2005 were analyzed when V. Yushchenko was the president in Ukraine. Then the policy in line with interests of republican administration of the USA led by George Bush was carried out in the most active way the essence of which consisted that the governments acting with radical anti-Russian ideologems were actively supported on the European continent in the countries of so-called “young democracy”. These are all post-Soviet Baltic countries: Ukraine, Poland, Georgia. If to paint over these countries on the map by a color marker - the impenetrable barrier between the European and Russian pole turns out by land. It turned out such "the Baltic-Black Sea arch of confrontation”.

Even if you will want to unite, it won’t turn out as the buffer zone is created.

Thus it is necessary to understand that “Baltic-Black Sea arch of confrontation” can't be the European project as Europe feels the need for an interaction of intensification with Russia, especially in conditions when EU experiences huge difficulties (stagnation in economy, critical figures of unemployment, the social tension leading to mass protests and so forth).

Their analysts say that Europe won't survive without Russia and its resources. In support of the offered direction there are statements of leading political leaders. It is Putin's statements for creation the general defensive space with Europe, the general antimissile defence, the all-European security forces, Merkel and Sarkozy's statement for need of creation of a common market and a visa-free regime with Russia and the post-Soviet countries and also recent words of the Prime minister of Great Britain David Cameron during the visit to Astana about the need of integration of the former Soviet Union and EU.

Many oppositional leaders of Europe also speak about it, for example, Marín Le Pen who insists on creation of confederation of the European states, speaks about EU inefficiency as closed structure, about the need of its modification that it included Russia and the post-Soviet countries.

Former blossoming of Europe was carried out thanks to raw opportunities of colonies, and now Europe lost all raw advantages which are naturally reoriented on China as on the main global manufacturer. But there is a huge source of raw materials of Russia which will allow to solve this problem. And Russia already starts working with Europe - the power intertwines, numerous projects are realized. Because of existing “buffer”, often, this cooperation makes a detour of this “obstacle”. The Northern and Southern streams are the example of it which went to round of the countries with the anti-Russian regimes.

Besides, Russia has the huge hi-tech capacity of the military industrial complex competitive in the world and so necessary to Europe.

- How does this process look from positions of the citizen of Ukraine?


- The exit can't be found within the confrontational model of “either to the west, or to the east” existing in Ukraine. It exists only within more general approach where contradictions between geopolitical poles are removed. And Ukraine can play a key role in this case.

Thus it should be noted that “buffer zone” gradually collapses. It started occurring after coming to power in the USA of the democrat Barack Obama - the tough policy of the former management directed on its maintenance was significantly softened. It isn't necessary though especially to be under a delusion - the politician Obama became significantly softer, but geopolitical interests remained the same - if there is an integration formation in the territory of all Eurasia, the USA will be not the first and the second, but the third on force and influence by the geopolitical center after China and Eurasia.

Naturally, the USA, as well as any center of force, pursues the interests and use tactics “divide and dominate”. Therefore contradictions between the main Eurasian poles “are well fed” including in Ukraine.

- And how Russia and Europe behave in relation to Ukraine?


- Supporters of “east” vector of integration often reproach Russia that it puts insufficient efforts for involvement of Ukraine to the sphere of the influence. The pier, Russia acts on level of any unofficial arrangements, top-level intrigues. But, as the inhabitant of Ukraine, I don't see here a special disproportion - any of the next geopolitical poles doesn't behave in this process actively. Europe in the same way poorly and unostentatiously offers something very abstract in the form of association with EU.
The influence of the West, that is usually called, is rather manifestation of the American interests. The conflict in Ukraine on the basis of the direction of integration strengthen the Baltic-Black Sea arch of confrontation which neither is absolutely not necessary to Europe, nor Russia.

- What Ukraine will receive from association “from ocean to ocean” creation?


- In case the uniform center of force with participation of Europe, Russia and all post-Soviet countries would be created, Ukraine waits “explosive” prosperity in all directions as the geographical center of this formation.

Let's present that already there was a certain integrative configuration from ocean to ocean with the coordinated rules of interaction. Then, for example, in the defensive sphere it is about 2,5 thousand nuclear warheads in Russia and about 1 thousand warheads in Europe. Who will attack this formation and its geographical center? It is natural that nobody. From the point of view of economy the territory of Ukraine also becomes interesting to all - the territory completely safe, close to all centers - one hour by plane to London and to Moscow. Here the most dense network of the railroads in Europe, 19 trade seaports, the able-bodied population, the best black earth in the world.

Investment appeal of Ukraine sharply increases in this situation and many additional risks, for example, corruption and political are removed which is dominating at us. If there is such large integrative formation, it will be necessary to play by the general rules at least in the economy and policy sphere which are very difficult for bypassing. If now it is possible “to work out” everything through any court or administration, to bring a bribe to someone, so it is difficult “to bring” the bribe to somebody in order to change the rules of the Customs Union. It is unlikely someone will have such opportunities. The same is fair for EU. And if the general rules under supranational control are carried out and it will be impossible to change them, it, considerably, will secure investments.

- And do you formulate this understanding in ideology of the International Public Movement “OCEAN”?

- We put all listed principles in a basis of ideology of the International Public Movement “OCEAN”. The concept is developed and the report with most general principles is prepared. This report passed analytical examination of leading scientific centers of Ukraine and some other countries.

Within this approach the leading scientists of Ukraine are ready to work who would present to the public concrete mechanisms which are already developed. Under this idea on the basis of which the congress had to pass congress, ambassadors of the states, leading experts of Ukraine and other countries, including Western Europe, clergy of high level, leaders of the Eurasian parties and movements were ready to be present.

Congress in this format had to become epoch-making - the model would be offered on it for all Ukrainian society and movement would be created which is potentially supported by 90% of the population of Ukraine accepting idea of need of the international integration of our country. This concept offers citizens the frictionless approach which removes a contradiction between the western and east integration. It is the idea which suits also supporters of restoration of East Slavic unity, both the Baltic-Black Sea integration and integration into EU.
And in this situation Ukraine is a key to the beginning of an intensification of these integrative processes, a key to “OCEAN” - confederations of the European and Asian people.

- And what occurred in the movement?


- At the latest moment - in two days prior to carrying out of congress, “revolution” was carried out in the International Public Movement “Ocean” - marginal people by means of security firms laid down a condition that won't let those participants who developed this model and those delegates who support it in a hall. They also made it, having left symbolic in a hall which doesn't belong to them. They chose own management and proclaimed ideas which had nothing general with those that make a basis of activity of the International Public Movement “Ocean”. That sounded at this meeting: about the need of democracy and creation of public parliament - abstract ideas under which even more abstract slogans like “for the sake of the world on the earth” and “we are for all good against all bad” were offered.

The purpose was to pervert the main idea and to discredit completely. Unfortunately, in a certain degree it turned out - any of serious experts, politicians and public figures didn't visit the so-called “congress” at which there was no agenda at all. And people, who came there, were taken through recruiting agency – the organizers of action promised to pay on 50 hryvnias for visit and to provide a buffet reception (that, by the way, didn't make).

- Was it made specially? Whether such development of an event was specially prepared operation?


- Here we enter the sphere of assumptions, but they have high probability. I consider that casual processes can’t be in this case. Failure of congress and the scenario of its discredit were organized very professionally. But there were no professionals among those people who gathered there.

That is, in order that to make it, it is necessary to possess a certain experience and a financial resource. The money appeared from somewhere for which they gathered the people, employed professional security, printed any leaflets. Those people, who defiantly organized this provocation, never saw such money.
Someone played on their ambitions. Told that they will be main, will make a speech at “world forum” before television cameras and all ambassadors of the world will applaud them. People, who sat in presidium of so-called “congress”, followed the tastes of these promises. And those who were in a hall, came simply to receive the money in general. As a matter of fact, action turned into the frank farce and buffoonery.

- Also it is a pity.


- Yes. At this congress it was planned to submit the general concept and then to study the separate directions - as the sphere of economy, democracy and other spheres of public life has to develop within being formed Eurasian integration.

In work of the real congress the participation of really recognized scientists was planned, on the basis of reports and analytical activity of whom the decisions at the highest level in many countries are made. They were ready under the offered concept to offer economic programs which are already partially realized.

There is well worked offer on an initiative from Ukraine on the organization of the international forum with the conditional name “Helsinki-2”. By analogy to “Helsinki-1” on which the new model of international policy was created. Such forum will allow to remove substantially confrontation on the European continent which demands money and other resources which instead of confrontation need to be spent for creation.

- Is it not a utopia – the desire to bring together in Kiev the leaders of all states of such huge space for “Helsinki – 2”?

- World politics is quite inert process. Even if today the heads of the states not to respond to such appeal, nevertheless, to act with a similar initiative – it is already the world news, a conclusion of process of integration to essentially new level of publicity and accurate positioning of Ukraine in this process. “There was a word in the beginning...”.

We offer the idea which reconciles all and we want that Kiev, the mother of the Russian cities”, became at first geographical and then and the organizational center of the new world. Thus Ukraine doesn't apply for domination in decision-making. But it is very favorable to us to be the geographical center of this formation. Advantages of such situation are already economically counted: and short-term and on strategic prospect. These are additional tens of billions dollars a year and prompt economic recovery.

In summary I can tell that activity of the International Public Movement “OCEAN” is directed on an embodiment of these ideas which reflect the global, universal tendencies.

Certainly, the ridiculous tricks of individuals won't affect this global process in any way. The proof to that is that the official 2nd congress of the International Public Movement “OCEAN” passed on July 28, 2013 in the Istrinsk region of the Moscow Oblast on which some important decisions were made.

Alexander Aleksandrovich Ivanchenko was expelled from the organization for discredit of ideas of the Eurasian integration.

The main part of work of congress was devoted to development and adoption of new, large-scale projects within activity of the International Public Movement “OCEAN”. Creation of Expert community “Eurasian Initiative” becomes one of them into which the leading experts of practically all CIS countries will enter.

And on August 1 in Kiev the press conference of the International Public Movement “OCEAN” took place in Interfax Ukraine news agency after which the Coordination council of the organization was carried out. The decision on carrying out of the 3rd congress of the International Public Movement “OCEAN” was made on it in Kiev on September 15, 2013 which fully will present of prospect and benefit of the Eurasian integration and a role of Ukraine in this process to the Ukrainian and world community.

 

Viewed : 2315   Commented: 2

Author: Stepan Bulbenko

Publication date : 14 August 2013 01:00

Source: The world and we

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