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Kazbek Beysebayev: “It is not only tenge devaluation. It is also power devaluation”

The main subject in the next Kazakhstan is an unexpected devaluation of tenge which interests literally all. So interests that already forgot about quite recently sounded proposal of the president of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev to change the country name. At our request the public figure known in the republic, one of the most popular bloggers Kazbek Beysebayev commented on the situation:

— Let's begin with a question of possible renaming of the republic. Why suddenly there was an idea to change it?

- It is necessary to say that disputes on renaming of the republic were conducted, but they were conducted in a narrow circle. Mass media also lifted a subject, but there was no big agiotage about it. Many considered that if to take the words «Soviet» and «socialist» away from that name which was at the Soviet Union, it will turn out very correctly: Kazakh Republic …

But here our president suddenly lifted this subject on the way to Sochi in the city of Aktau at a meeting with the public. And when the president Nazarbayev told something, so he will made.

— That is, the name will change?

- I think that t exactly will be. The new name, Kazakh eli, can be translated both as the people, the state and the homeland … This s such literary name — approximately as Sacred Russia.

There is still such moment. The power in Kazakhstan now, conditionally telling, purely Kazakh behind very rare exception. And at the same time most unfortunate are the Kazakhs too … Russians, Ukrainians, Germans, Jews aren’t outsiders, they belong to middle class which lives, in general, normally. And here it turns out that the president paid attention to expectations of the Kazakh people. The people apprehended t and began rough discussion.

They were divided into two camps: one say that from renaming will change nothing, and others consider that now the power will pay attention to common people. But discussion quickly ended as there was tenge devaluation.

— It isn’t interesting any more?

- Well, the people already saw a lot of things; he understood at once that it was distracting maneuver. Now the subject of renaming isn’t interesting practically to somebody.

— There was such point of view that after renaming many Russians can leave as see the plan of future reorganization of Kazakhstan in it. Is it real?

- It is impossible to exclude it. But I would speak in this case not about Russians, but about people in general, we will tell so, the advanced people. These people see today that problems in economy are not on the first place in the country which there is a lot of them, but absolutely other questions. And these people simply don’t see the future in Kazakhstan.

- From where the argument that Kazakhstan is confused with Afghanistan and Pakistan for the terminations in the name undertaken?


- The president also told that unfortunately, abroad we are confused to these countries — therefore also there are no investors. But all perfectly understand that the matter is not in words, but in real actions. If everything rose in price for 20% - what can be the words… The volume of foreign investments depends not on the country name, but on the created favorable conditions for investors.

— Is the mechanism of renaming clear?

- Pay attention to the phrase of the president Nazarbayev: «before it is necessary to discuss it surely with the people». But it is possible to discuss with the people only on a referendum! According to the Constitution, «changes and additions can be made to the Constitution of the Republic of Kazakhstan by the republican referendum held on the decision of the President of the Republic, accepted by him on own initiative, to the Parliament or Government offer». I. e. the power decides to hold a referendum on which the people have to express the opinion.

But the referendum can not be carried out if the president decides to submit it to parliament. As we see, legislatively there are two solutions of a question: through a referendum and through parliament. What decision will be made by parliament as shows all experiment of our statehood, isn’t necessary to doubt.

In this regard it will be logical and correct to bring a question to a referendum. Especially, it is a question of the country name. If to think, removal at a referendum of so important question can become national idea which will be able to unite all political forces, public associations, civil society and all citizens.

When the president said that the state was built from scratch, he was absolutely right. De facto today’s Kazakhstan is constructed by Nursultan Abishevich, and all control system is only on him. But it concerns the Republic of Kazakhstan. And what Kazakhstan or Kazak eli will be without him is a big question! It is obvious that not only change of the name of the country, but change of political system would be required. The super presidential country which Kazakhstan now is, won’t be able to function the same way as now at the first president and the leader of the nation.

There is the time for political reforms and creation of system of controls and counterbalances. Therefore, all should put available political and other disagreements aside and to support discussion of a question of renaming of the country together with political reform.

— Why did the devaluation happen which remains the main subject of day in Kazakhstan?

- Reason, certainly, is purely economic. Kazakhstan is extracting and selling raw materials country. Respectively, the main task is to lift export. It was made at the expense of the people — here are all problems. But the main consequence of this decision consists that the middle class suffered! It was apolitical: it was engaged in different affairs, developed the business … The middle class was a power support in Kazakhstan. And, roughly speaking, it was thrown. And thrown rigidly!

It is necessary to recognize that the authorities managed to close a copper cover densely in the different ways. It would seem, the steam of discontent can’t get out any more outside.
But all was thrown with devaluation. As a whole, position of all people worsened for 20%. And when the general discontent joins people on whom any country keeps, it is already serious!

The approved policy of crackdown won’t pass with them. They have what to lose. Therefore those who are above should understand that there are very big problems in the country and it is necessary to solve them in common. Otherwise, everything can lead to negative results for the country and small meetings can turn into the big.

— Can be the protests be in the country on this background?

- Everything can be. It depends on how the economic situation will quickly worsen. Now after all events the people quite reasonably consider that it is better to keep the money in other reliable places and in hard currency. The head of National Bank tries to calm citizens, but his explanations already don’t cause trust. As, however, the words of the power.

Earlier the protests were organized by any narrow groups, and now everything can change. The middle class understood that it has no trust to the power any more. It is possible to tell that they devaluated not only tenge, but also the power was devaluated in the opinion of its most devoted supporters. As for meetings, irrespective whether they are spontaneous or organized, are probability that such actions will be more.

— Will such situation be reflected on Nursultan Nazarbayev’s authority?

- We have no mechanism of continuity of the power. And devaluation, of course, will affect authority of the government and the president, including. Before we were told: don’t worry, everything will be normal! All turned out differently; and it is so unexpected that many are silent still … And our deputies are silent too. Though usually like to talk. And the people came for protest meetings who weren’t interested earlier in policy in general!

You know, the year of the Horse always was very important in the history of Kazakhstan and in the history of Kazakhs as people! Civil war, hunger of 1932, war, virgin soil development, construction of industrial giants, events of 1990 … The list can be continued, but what I want to say: it always were decisive years, ever there was a difficult situation, or new breakthrough in development. I think, 2014 year will be same because Kazakhstan approached to the next fork … Where the further way lies is a question …

Viewed : 2369   Commented: 0

Author: Vladimir Kuzmenkin

Publication date : 15 April 2014 01:00

Source: The world and we

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