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Ivan Datsenko from Ukraine is the leader of the Indians and the agent of the Soviet intelligence service

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NATO wants to take Georgia “to be on friendly terms against Russia”

Against whom we are on friendly terms? This absurd phrase, at first sight, most often say it seems as for fun. But only at household, simple human level. If the matter concerns the policy and especially military policy, the phrase quite often finds quite real sense filled with the bad contents.

In this case it is a question of such military-political monster as NATO.
It is known that the North Atlantic military alliance was formed in 1949 as force, urged to resist to «Soviet threat», to the Western world. It isn’t known whether was that «threat» or not — let it pass, with affairs of bygone days! Opposition of the East and the West existed and now we won’t begin to speak about ideological background.

Besides, it is well-known that soon after formation of NATO the Soviet Union appealed to admit it to this organization. However the refusal followed on this offer. What is a refusal in such situation? Designation of the purpose against which the organization is created.

The following step of Moscow was easy to be expected. In 1955 on the military-political world map there was a new structure — the Warsaw Treaty Organization, urged to resist to NATO.

The international situation in the second half of the XX century in many respects was defined by NATO and Department of Internal Affairs opposition.

Today «Soviet threat» consigned to the past. The Warsaw Treaty Organization was scattered. There is no more Soviet Union …

So against whom the Western world has to be on friendly terms now?

Yes, there is no Soviet Union more. But Russia remained! Let weakened, torn apart by internal contradictions, with the economy which was near death, infinitely weakening rouble … But still seeking not to give in the strong power, trying to escape from the prolonged crisis, Russia possessing infinite treasures!

The aspiration to possession our treasures also is the design cornerstone, the name of which is NATO.

However, it is if to take by and large. If in particular, so each participating country of the military-political block has own purposes. If the USA seeks for world leadership, many small states, like clingfishes, simply wish to get to community strong, that to eat the crumbs from a lordly table.

There is the indicative example. By the initial situation, each participating country is obliged to deduct two percent from the gross domestic product for needs of NATO. In reality only some states satisfy this condition, other maintenance costs of the block reduced. And so it turned out that today 72 percent (it is according to official figures, and according to some information it is more) of means arrive from the USA in the budget of NATO. Already this circumstance shows who exactly first of all is interested in block existence.

So, the North Atlantic block was in its current form formed for 65 years. From the moment of collapse of the USSR its border made breakthrough by the boundaries of Russia, and today crawl over our country from several directions.

And the special place is taken by Georgia in a question of NATO expansion to the east.

Today Georgia has the status of «participant of the Accelerated dialogue». It is some kind of candidate for the introduction for NATO, however it isn’t guaranteed. The pier, let Tbilisi fulfils all requirements imposed to it, and we will have a look how to arrive further.

It is clear why the leadership of Georgia needs the accession to this structure. It raises the statehood, it intensifies the contacts of political and military elite with foreign colleagues, it allows to place foreign bases in the territory that automatically means creation of new workplaces and replenishment of the state budget. The safety increase of the country is declared for the inhabitant, to what the inhabitant, as a rule, believes, but only there is no telling how things will turn out. Nevertheless, during a referendum on January 5, 2008 77 percent of the population of the country voted for the accession to North Atlantic Treaty Organization.

It is clear too why the entry of Georgia into NATO is favourable to the USA. Georgia would become the most east participant of Community, it would become an outpost of the American influence in Transcaucasia, it would cut Armenia from Russia and in general Washington would have a new lever of pressure upon Moscow …

However, NATO is not a pocket toy of the United States. It is the organization in the structure of which there are 28 participating states; and not all from them agree to play a role of a lap dog of Obama.

First of all, reception of Georgia in structure of Alliance contradicts article 10 of the North Atlantic agreement according to which only the European states can enter NATO. Though the Agreement is not so serious, that it is possible to bring additions changes in it also. There are more difficult obstacles.

The state which becomes the member of NATO, really appears under protection of all military power of Alliance. However it is double-edged! The alliance also has to be sure that it replenishes with the adequate fellow member the actions of which are predictable and under control, and therefore won’t lead to any surprises. As for Tbilisi then Brussels doesn’t have that confidence —you can expect everything from hot Caucasian guys. And it is today! And what can occur when especially zealous Georgian politicians will feel that power behind the back?!

And here there is a question … What interest the same France or Germany have to quarrel with Russia because of unpredictable ambitions of Georgia? Well, after all there is no reason! And therefore they also don’t feel delight of that in NATO there will be the Caucasian factor not giving in to forecasting.

Present events in Ukraine, Europe demonstrate the attitude towards them, for the sake of whom the West is ready to unite and who excites it to a lesser extent. Georgia obviously treats the second category.

However you shouldn’t be under a delusion. The events of the last time near the Russian borders show that our ideological work in neighbouring countries, unfortunately, too often revolves recently. Today, when the attention of the whole world, in any case, its considerable part, is chained to events in Ukraine, it is a high time to stretch on the quiet the decision on Georgia in NATO, for example.

You shouldn’t amuse yourselves illusions: if such would happen —the serious blow will be struck to interests of Russia on South Caucasus. After all this act automatically materializes in bases under the sight of which there will be all Southern federal district; already today Tbilisi begs the western patrons of system of air defence. As it was already spoken above, there will be Armenia even in bigger isolation and the contingent of the Russian army and Frontier troops located in its territory. If to consider that Yerevan is exposed to constant political pressure from the West that in Armenia there are a lot of the pro-West adjusted politicians who are standing up for weakening of the position of Moscow in the region, the additional factor in hands of the anti-Russian forces can quite play the negative role for us.

But this is not main thing! The main thing is that there will be a precedent of violation of authorized documents of NATO limiting an exit out of limits of Europe. Already today the headquarters of NATO has Individual partner plans with Azerbaijan, Armenia, Kazakhstan … And though there is no wish to trust in the similar scenario of development of a situation, but life shows that it is better to be ready to everything. Coverage by the North Atlantic block of Russia from the South to the most Chinese border is extremely undesirable, but not so impossible prospect of development of a situation in case of option realization with Georgia.

But we will return from the hypothetical future to the real present.
And present realities consist that on May 2 Georgia and OSCE signed the memorandum of understanding. Of course, OSCE is not NATO. However this event quite serves as an indicator of that on the one hand, Georgia persistently looks for contacts with the West and on the other hand, the West is ready to those contacts. Especially as there is a geographical binding in the name of the organization — the Organization for Safety and Cooperation in Europe which easily step for the sake of achievement of political goals.

Today the problem of Russia consists to interfere with intention of Georgia to enter NATO in every possible way. To achieve this result, it is necessary to make so that the western politicians realized the danger of such decision.

The most important is the situation in the Georgia, and also it is too unstable at its borders. Situation with Abkhazia and South Ossetia is very famous — after the military conflict which became the history as «War of 08.08.08», these republics declared the independence which was recognized by Russia and only some small states. However the situation in Adzharia is heated.
Georgia is the country with overwhelming prevalence of the title nation. Ethnic Georgians make nearly 85 percent from 4,5 million inhabitants of the country. Moreover more than one and a half million located outside the country — but it so, to the word.

And so, in Georgia, as usual in the states with overwhelming numerical superiority of one nation, all key posts are held by its representatives. Respectively, Armenians, Azerbaijanians, representatives of other people are restrained; and especially it concerns the Russians.

Existence of the centres of ethnic intensity, both existing and potential, strongly guards the West. Many countries of NATO have similar problems, and why they have voluntary to predict an additional headache on itself?

Again it is necessary to remember the world crisis which forces to tighten the thongs more tightly and the states with developed economy. Meanwhile, exactly they should pay expenses of NATO both for themselves and for others. As for Georgia, its economy is disorganized today at all. 10,5 billion dollars of a debt, 16 percent of the unemployed, 31 percent below the poverty line … What contribution will it be able to bring in a collective moneybox of Alliance? And to whom such parasite is necessary?

But policy, policy! It forces NATO bosses to close eyes to all these risks. Pressure upon Russia should be continued and increased — Washington and Brussels are guided by this principle. And they manage it too often. Especially now, during inflaming civil war in Ukraine.

As it was already spoken, three quarters of the population of Georgia supported the accession to NATO. Respectively, the remained quarter has to become a support for carrying out in the society of idea about malignancy of a course on joining of the country to aggressive alliance. It is just necessary to solve this problem for Russia.
As well as not to allow that in NATO the point of view of need of participation of Georgia won alliance.

If such would happen, Russia will suffer one more political defeat. And let’s hope, that only the political.

Viewed : 1788   Commented: 0

Author: Igor Matveev,military expert, colonel

Publication date : 22 May 2014 16:51

Source: The world and we

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