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The party of power has supported the neo-Nazis from "Freedom", aspiring to eliminate Yulia Timoshenko’s influence in the West of Ukraine

The director of the Ukrainian branch of CIS Countries Institute, historian, journalist, political scientist Vladimir Vladimirovich Kornilov answers to questions of internet portal “The World and we”.

- What is your attitude to non-fulfilment of Yanukovich his several fundamental pre-election promises about giving to Russian status of state language, about ban of fascism propaganda?

If I were Yanukovich, I would answer to this question: “I gave these promises for five years not one year. Why do you demand from me the fulfillment of promises in first year of my authority?” In principle, this is an argument. He promised to cancel time draft to army in next year only. Nearly all candida¬tes to president gave this populist promise and everybody knew that it would not be fulfilled. This is one of promises which was launched from light hand of Timoschenko, and nobody knows now how can it be removed from pre-election programs.
As concerns to the Russian language, the representatives of V. Yanukovich and Party of Regions consider that they are moving in this direction, say they adopt correction to Constitution about Russian as state language easily after getting 300 votes in Parliament of Ukraine, will adopt law draft about rise of the Russian status after getting 226 votes and so on. But all these statements are not quite sincere softly to say. One of the representatives of Yanukovich lets out a secret that everything depends on Leader position. Members of Party of Regions can persuade their partners, in first turn, Litvin’s block to vote for needed laws including such as are murderous for itself. They found “arguments” anyway to persuade Litvin and his block to vote for cancellation of named blocks which is deadly for Litvin himself and his political force. Moreover it could be possible to persuade them to vote for law about languages because author of this draft was one of famous representatives of “Litvin’s block”. But there is no political will and this is a fact.
Unfortunately Party of Regions (and this is not a secret) was created initially as project not for protection of any ideas but as method of power getting. Aim of this party is power but not advo-cacy of South-East Ukraine voters’ ideology. And there are two approaches here – one can criti-cize Party of Regions representatives, stigmatize them calling them “betrayers of national interests of South-East Ukraine” and cry that they are worse comparing “oranges” and Yuschenko but one can do everything to persuade Party of Regions that reaching official bilingualism is aim but not mean as they consider this topic exploiting it five electoral campaigns on end. Many parties in modern sense of this word, modern big political parties of Europe began so. In the beginning they adopted doctrine of public attitude of big part of voters using these opinions as mean of power getting but then, after years, this ideology became aim for politicians themselves. And now there is serious choice for Party of Regions – to become European party of ideology or to be busy with ideology problems from elections to elections only. I consider the second way defective, it will lead early or lately (earlier than many in Party of Regions expect) to failure of this political project. We see now that voters of South-East are disappointed with Party of Regions activity at power. And one understands that if Party of Regions do nothing again to fulfill cardinal, fundamental promises, so the voters of the South-East will not support this party. Electors will vote “by foot” or will create own ideological project early or lately which exclude Party of Regions from its electoral private domain.

- What can be domestic-policy implications of Yanukovich attempts to bow to the wishes of aggressive ideological demands of Western Ukraine?

I remember night after second tout of elections of President. Polling stations just closed – but we hear from everywhere yet, from every talk shows appeals to Yanukovich to forget his pre-elec-tion promises, to forget that he is elected by voters of East and “to become president of all Ukraine”, “to give hand to Western Ukraine” and to accept ideology of his opponents. Once in modern history of Ukraine it gave result – speech is about example of Leonid Kuchma. And Yanukovich was pulled to the same way immediately.
And judging to some steps of Yanukovich it is seen: he is in two minds, sometimes he is inclined to bow to the wishes of ideology of Western Ukraine. It seems to many followers of Yanukovich that the voters of the South-East have no another choice so they can make advances to West. It is, of course, cardinal mistake of those who pull Yanukovich to this scenario. One must understand why Kuchma became “native” for West in every case for one electoral campaign. The business is that the West had worse candidate. The same was and with Kravchuk. For example, Kravchuk was “fright” for the Western Ukraine on elections in 1991. And Kravchuk became “savior of Ukrainian nation” but Kuchma became “fright” on elections in 1994. Petr Simonenko became new “fright” for Western Ukraine on next elections and Kuchma became “father of nation” yet.
The Western Ukraine must see “fright” worse than Yanukovich to recognize him “father of nation”. The West will never consider Yanukovich “native” until more ideological project will appear in South-East of Ukraine which will be worse for Western Ukraine comparing Party of Regions. But we observe really serious problem for Party of Regions – absence of such “anti-Tyagnibok” in the South-East. Laws of political life are similar of laws of physics and lead to one finally: if any radical political force appears in one ideological direction and there is no such force in other ideological flank so centre moves to side of radical political force finally. And if something more radical than Party of Regions not appear in the South-East of Ukraine at least of Tyagnibok level so members of Party of Regions according to above-mentioned law will drift in this ideological direction gradually. I think that for members of Party of Regions it will be salvation if such force will appear in South-East. They can be centrist as they want to be finally. But many members of Party of Regions don’t understand it and fight any potential political scientists, any political projects constantly which can in far future make ideological competition for Party of Regions in their electoral private domain. To my sight, it is strategic mistake for members of Party of Regions. They deprive themselves so necessary for them “ice breaker” to clean ideological way for mem¬bers of Party of Regions.

- What is probability that dissatisfaction of society in Ukraine will lead to events similar to happening in Tunisia and Egypt?

Let us do not forget that we don’t follow Tunisia and Egypt scenario, but they follow scenario of Ukraine. We had passed it 6-7 years ago yet. And all these technologies are used in Tunisia and Egypt. Moreover the same structure was leader in organization, ideological and tactical prepara-tion of these events in Tunisia and Egypt and here in Kiev. The speech is about Serbian move-ment “Repulse” which is renamed now but consists of the same people. They consulted our “Pora” and field commanders of Maydan, and now openly confess that consulted organizers of actions in Tunisia and Egypt. So technologies are the same. One can fix even any stagnation in development of these ideas. Everything that passed in Ukraine is used in Arab world now.
Can be repeated in our country everything took place in 2004? Everything is possible theoreti-cally. We see social protests shocking more stable and richer Europe now. There is high possibility of social tension development in society in conditions of unpopular reforms started by Yanukovich. This tension can be directed to next Maydans, shocks and revolutions theoretically in presence of enough strong organizing force. If this force appear revolutionary situation can transform to any revolution. But there is no such force in Ukraine in present. Last year events showed that Block of Timoschenko is in extremely detailed condition. Year was empty for them instead of using ideal situation to join and to lead Tax Maydans, protest attitude. But no one sees even intention of Block of Timoschenko to become such organizing force. Will something new appear or not we shall see of course during social protests but now I repeat this organizing force is not observed.

- How strong, in your opinion, is the influence of nationalistic ideas in the Ukrainian information medium, in consciousness of simple Ukrainians taking into account active propagandistic infor¬mation policy which was conducted in Yushchenko times?

From one side, the ideas of Yushchenko failed ignominiously. We see by results of elections, by ratings that ideology that Yushchenko tried to implant in Ukrainian society didn’t get wide support. This is positive fact. It seemed that brainwashing was total, Russophobic and anti-Russian propaganda occupied all channels. During 5 years of Yushchenko’s authority negative attitude to Russia according to polls increased from 3% up to 4-5%. This growth shows that Yushchenko and his clique failed in aim.
From the other side, seeds are sown. And these “clusters of wrath” can sprout early or lately, and we observe it by growth of extreme, radical nationalistic attitudes in Western Ukraine, we obser-ve it by results of elections to local councils. And considerable part of neo-Nazi from “Freedom” is due to today party of authority decided to support in information and resources this techni¬cal as it seems to them political force and eliminate influence of main competitor Yulia Timo¬schenko in the Western Ukraine. Some representatives of authorities openly boast that they reduced to null all efforts of Y. Timoschenko and her ratings in the West.
It seems that tactical aim is reached. Of course, party of authority, members of Party of Regions made very serious mistake in strategic sense. What did become result of local elections? This is not that Tyagnibok appeared on displays and reached rating not 3% but 5% in Ukraine. The case is that party “Freedom” itself and its neo-Nazi ideology got serious resource support after arrival to actual authority in many regions of Western Ukraine, in towns, in villages, in settlements. They don’t need sponsors from side as it was one year ago. Now they will get support in local budgets. Modern representatives of business in Western Ukraine are forced to take into account this political force and to support it materially. And this danger is more serious really than simple actions of regular idea-free members of Block of Yulia Timoschenko.
Present authority stood bad stead for future development of Ukraine making advances to these extremely nationalists for solving own tactical tasks and gave possibility for uncontrollable pro-paganda of extreme nationalistic ideas in a whole in Ukraine and in point of fact lead these ideas on level of resource support in the Western Ukraine. And this is a cardinal, strategic mistake for political force which position itself as the party of the South-East of Ukraine.

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Author: Михаил Михайлов

Publication date : 01 June 2011 01:00

Source: The world and we

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