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Ivan Datsenko from Ukraine is the leader of the Indians and the agent of the Soviet intelligence service

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Excuse us, Russians...

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The U.S. State Department: Russia prepares aggression against the USA by hand of Chukchi people

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Turkmenia surprises: Arkadag will be instead of Turkmenbashi!

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The truth of history: Wehrmacht, just as SS, slaughtered and raped on a mass scale

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The USA and other organizers of anti-Russian sanctions stand up for Nemtsov's murder

USA go to hell!

Fuck USA!

Fighters - people's deputies will overthrow thieves and put Nazis to rule over Ukraine

Rostislav Ishchenko, the famous political scientist, the president of the Centre of System Analysis and Forecasting (Kiev, Ukraine) predicts further critical deterioration of situation for the Kiev authorities and coming of Nazi armed groups to power.
— How will the victory of «Popular Front» of Yatsenyuk affect a situation in Ukraine and what consequences will have the results of elections to the Verkhovna Rada?
These elections were frank nonsense from the part of Poroshenko because he controlled the previous Rada. Besides, Yatsenyuk was rather conditional prime minister — he had no majority in Rada which then was formed round Poroshenko. When he went to elections, it was clear that Yatsenyuk will resist. He rather successfully carried out the election campaign. But it is impossible to tell that he really won elections because in this case the voting was not so important as possibility of votes counting. And, obviously, Yatsenyuk and his allies had opportunities to count these voices— differently it is impossible to explain the growth of ratings of his block almost twice in a week.
Now Yatsenyuk appeared not less, and, perhaps, more legitimate than Poroshenko because now he has a mandate of national trust. And taking into account the existing Constitution of a sample of 2004, Yatsenyuk as the prime minister who completely controls economy, finance and the government, is much stronger figure now than Poroshenko. Especially, it is obvious as the coalition in Rada will be guided by Yatsenyuk.
— Because by results of elections a large number of the fighters participating in punitive operations against DNR and LNR passed to Rada, can it aggravate considerably a situation and lead to the armed revolution, establishment of nationalist dictatorship?
All this newly elected Rada will be substantially under control to these fighters and Nazis. As for revolution, regardless of their passing to parliament, such revolution was already about to happen. Rada, by and large, solves a little now. Decisions are made by the armed people and the intermediaries in the form of Rada, the President or the government aren’t necessary any more to such characters.
The situation is aggravated also with that fighters have rather serious divergences in conducting of punitive operation. They consider that the government works badly, insufficiently rigidly. There are divergences and by ideological part Yatsenyuk and Poroshenko’s Kiev government is the government of thieves, but the fighters need the government of Nazis. Therefore revolution in Kiev can happen at any time, but I think that anyway it is a question of the next several months.
— How Kiev will react to elections in Novorossiya and legitimation of the power in DNR and LNR — is the renewal of military operations possible?
Kiev now is in zugzwang. On the one hand it can’t be at war and on the other hand it can’t be not to be at war. Because it is clear that the balance of forces changed. If the militia crushed the Ukrainian army in August-September, now it will crush it in even bigger scale and in general can stop somewhere in Lviv.
Therefore Kiev, of course, is afraid to begin military operations. On the other hand Kiev can’t but be at war because if to leave army in a field in the winter and not to send it to approach, it will rebel. To sit in cold entrenchments without warm clothes because Kiev assumes that the army will be dressed by volunteers means to decompose army and to provoke its inevitable revolt. But if to clean army to big cities where it can normally winter, in that case the militia will simply occupy all territory left by the Ukrainian troops.
Besides, Russia declared that recognizes the elections on November 2. It means that the authorities in DNR and LNR aren’t less legitimate than the authorities in Kiev. Therefore, it is one more incentive to begin the attack. And, at last, attack on Novorossiya, the beginning of active military operations postpones for some time of a contradiction in the Kiev power — the external enemy rallies. Therefore in spite of the fact that the beginning of military operations for Kiev is similar the death, but even more true the Kiev power collapses without the beginning of attack. Therefore I think that attack in the Southeast anyway will happen. It is logical for Kiev to begin it as soon as possible because, the farther, the closer to cold weather.
But, perhaps, owing to technical problems with fighting capacity of army the attack will be postponed for later time. Nevertheless, Kiev is simply obliged to provoke the beginning of an active phase of the conflict. And it will have catastrophic consequences for it. It has nothing to be at war.
For Kiev the accident comes anyway whether it begins the military operations or not. But the active position is always more favourable. Therefore it is logical to assume that after all military operations will soon be resumed.

Viewed : 1473   Commented: 0

Author: Mikhail Mikhaylov

Publication date : 21 November 2014 00:00

Source: The world and we

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