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Requiem to Ukraine?

Who am I? I am the inhabitant of Odessa. The Ukrainian and Russian blood is equally in my veins, the blood of uterine children of Kievan Rus'. I know two very similar languages equally. The central Ukraine, native Rus' are the mother of Russia (in other words «Kiev mother of the cities of Russians»). And the relations between the countries which were born in 1991 had to develop as at mother with the daughter after departure from the general apartment.
In the beginning it was so. But it is as a bone in a throat to world managers. The decision, fatal for Ukraine, was made — to involve it in NATO, having made it the anti-Russian base. And the joint life of Russia and Ukraine (how weren’t they invited at different times) lasted more than one thousand years. It began not in 1917 and not in 1654, but at least in 862 (if to accept Nestor chronicler version about creation of the Russian state by Oleg). Therefore there is no big difference between Russians and Ukrainians. The languages are closer to each other than, for example, Northern and Southern — the German dialects, not to mention the Chinese adverbs, but they are considered as one people. We even often communicate among themselves every on own language, understanding each other and without paying attention to it.
Notice, many telecasts are in two languages in parallel as in any other country— when both leaders and participants are multilingual and tell with each other every on own language. And it is not a lack of the country, but its uniqueness and wealth!
And how many natives from Ukraine made and make a huge contribution to the Russian culture and vice versa … All of us are bound by cultural, related, economic and other ties. And I loved the fine Ukrainian language until recently.
But till that moment when it was going to be imposed violently, but «love can’t be ordered». Now, after May 2, having heard the Ukrainian speech on the street of Odessa, you strain —is it the invaders settled on bases and rest houses? But no — will listen and it is our regional surzhyk or people obviously hurry to the sea to swim— war makes some people rich.
What’s the use of that reference, so that I’m not the Ukrainophobe and, being half the Ukrainian, sincerely (perhaps, subjectively) consider that Ukrainians are the strong, beautiful, talented and hardworking people living on the most fertile earth in the world (how they are not rich with such «happiness» is a separate subject).
Now I will give the reasons of a near crash of Ukraine.
The economic reason. How some «patriots» wanted it, Ukraine won’t become 51 states of the USA in any way, won’t stop being the neigbour of Russia. From Russia there are hydrocarbons to us, millions of Ukrainians go there on earnings, about a half of the Ukrainian industry is connected with Russia, there was a third of our export.
It is possible to try to chop off everything and to remain without the industry, without gas, with millions of the unemployed and «hungry revolts». The hopes are illusory that Russia will reconcile to discrimination of the Russian-speaking, will agree with membership of Ukraine in NATO under pressure of sanctions of the West, will buy the Ukrainian industrial and agricultural output unnecessary in the West, will sell gas to Ukraine cheaper than to Europe, will keep workplaces for Ukrainians.
The western help will quickly be eaten — nobody will feed Ukraine long, to invest money in national economy, being in a condition of permanent opposition with the powerful neighbour too. Does someone really consider that Ukraine is loved in the West more than money? The same Canadian and American Ukrainians don’t hurry to come back here or to start business here. It is easy to trust in bright future of «Ukraine mother» from abroad. Anyway, without the help of Russia and furthermore at its sabotage, Ukraine is expected by economic crash in the next year — two.
The foreign policy reason. Whether because of the western owners directions, whether on own stupid Russophobia, today’s Ukrainian management, including the new president, won’t make concessions to inhabitants of the Southeast and Russia in three questions: the federal status (Russia is interested in one thing by and large — impossibility to change a foreign policy vector without consent of all regions), bilingualism (there is no country in the world in which the language of a half of the population isn’t the state, besides there is no country even with a quarter of population), the extra block status (really someone thinks, that the West will be got involved in nuclear war because of Ukraine???).
Naturally, various scenarios of counteraction of European integrators' victory in Kiev are worked over in the Kremlin. The first step is the continuous territorial dispute across the Crimea (the shining, not having analogue, almost bloodless accession of the big territory in the presence of a powerful fifth column in the person of the Crimean Tatars' guide and blocking of 30-thousand army still will be included into textbooks). Analogue — the territorial disputes since 2008 don’t allow Georgia to enter into NATO. The second step depends on actions of the Ukrainian power — at further mass death of civilians on Donbass as a result of so-called anti-terrorist operation, the direct military intervention will be by the principle: «beat the Jews, save Russia». At slow (as now) anti-terrorist operation — various support of separatists' actions: fights, diversions, acts of terrorism, guerrilla war to a victory over «Kiev junta».
Various Basque or North Irish radicals with their not large-scale actions still will seem the innocent lambs. Such scenario of «bleeding abscess» on border of Europe and Russia suits America, but will it arrange Europe and other Ukraine? Will the desire appear to separate these «gangster areas» to preserve the children and the peace in Europe? Will Russia be satisfied— after all Russians and Russian-speaking people will perish and in Russia the charge of the power of own people treachery will be (they rescued the inhabitants of the Crimea, but that are not ours?) So also the recognition option of Novorossiya in future, the help to it by all resources is very probable.
The internal political reason. The most terrible one… Centuries-old peaceful co-existence of the people living in the territory of Ukraine — the people bound besides millions of related communications comes to an end. The more the shed blood, the more the crack within the country between Ukrainians and Russian, Ukrainian-and Russian-speaking, inhabitants of Galicia and Donets Basin, inhabitants of Odessa and Kiev, adherents of «European values» and «Russian world», Orthodox Christians and uniats …
Is it possible to glue the bowl broken on May 2 in Odessa?
Thirst of revenge, mutual hatred, intolerance to foreign opinion (for example, why the Southeast to participate in elections if the CEC is controlled by Maidan «sotniks» and will correct any «wrong» vote, if our deputies in the Verkhovna Rada don’t allowed neither to act, nor to vote, if they are beaten?) do impossible further residence in one state …
Any of these three reasons (economic, foreign policy, internal political) would be enough for crash of the state. And if they are three … Or will a miracle be? Do you believe in miracles?

Viewed : 1553   Commented: 1

Author: Konstantin Odessit

Publication date : 30 October 2014 00:29

Source: The world and we

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