Peace in Novorossiya will be only after a clear victory over junta

The Ukrainian troops use the armistice for new bridgehead creation for the subsequent attack, DNR army undertakes active counteractions for reflection of the outlined aggression. The director of the Centre of Politological Analysis and Technologies (Donetsk) Sergey Anatolyevich Baryshnikov answers the questions of «The world and we».
— Does the Ukrainian party keep the armistice conditions or it became simple cover for continuation of military operations?
Naturally, the Ukrainian armed forces constantly broke the armistice. Thus there is a military group build-up at the Donetsk airport, first of all. It happens to the purpose of creation of the bridgehead for the subsequent offensive war, an exit to northern and northwest boundaries which allow to control the part of an urban area of Donetsk, allow to trace all its centre.
At this stage such actions are directed on calling into question internal political stability of DNR, to cross out political and economic obligations and plans of the leaders of the national republic. Except Donetsk, the developing attack is conducted in other places. In general we see a picture of build-up and regrouping of Ukraine armed forces.
The conclusion is obvious — first of all, the Ukrainian military try to use this armistice. Certainly, the armed forces of DNR which already actually have a format of regular army, conduct active actions for improvement of the position, operational situation and creation of conditions for the subsequent more active and successful military operations.
In other words, the armistice is really such, after all it is not the full-fledged peace, not completion of military campaign, but only a prolonged pause. It is hard to say as far as it will be long, but on October 26 the parliamentary elections have to pass in Ukraine and it is an unconditional reference point. At least, the active military operations won’t be before elections and right after them.
In DNR approximately in the same time frames, on November 2, elections of the head of state and National council of DNR have to take place. The end of October, the beginning of November is such time frames beyond the limits of which both parties won’t go, most likely. And here November can become peculiar «truth moment» both for Kiev and for Donetsk.
— It is known that the junta made the decision to take away all punitive battalions from zone of anti-terrorist operation and to stop their providing. Do you have more detailed information?
It is an indicator of more mature, significant stage of carrying out military operation from the point of preparation view. At the initial stage the army was so incapacitated that it was tried to replace with a peculiar artificial limb in a varying degree, imitating the armed forces in the form of voluntary battalions formations.
Now it is the time of more serious, system actions for the Kiev power concerning the former Southeast. Possibly, these formations aren’t necessary any more — they played a role. Which role — effective, positive or on the contrary, it is seen to the most Kiev power. But, in my opinion, they aren’t necessary any more and represent considerable internal political threat for the Ukrainian regime.
At this stage the reorganized and reformatted army, valid armed forces would play a role. And at the same stage the army has to replace finally these band formations by and large which are temporarily legalized by the Kiev authorities.
It is obvious that the leaders of the Kiev mode and their owners who are engaged in external providing and management of all this political and military operation don’t need different field commanders like Semyon Semenchenko and similar. It is the time of army and generals.
We perfectly understand it here in DNR and do, I hope, effective and adequate conclusions, we undertake counteractions to nullify this new qualitatively more serious and dangerous condition of the opponent resisting to us. I think, we will manage to finish this military campaign rather effectively. And it is very difficult to say in what terms. Likely, the war will be rather long, not one more month will last. And probably the full-fledged peace will be achieved only on condition of the full and finally armed and political success of one of the parties. Naturally, I hope that it will be our party, DNR, Novorossiya and its armed forces.
— Some commanders of punitive battalions declare that are going to transfer the activity to the territory of the Russian Federation where plan to carry out numerous acts of terrorism. What do you think of such statements?
Russia doesn’t get used to rather effective fight against an individual and massive terrorist underground therefore some attempts to work in this direction, to destabilize a situation are simply the propaganda course.
Limited technological, organizational capabilities and lack of any support in the Russian society do similar demarches frankly propaganda and the real threats as doubtful.
I think that it is hardly feasible, but in the return case similar figures will receive sound repulse of those bodies and special force of counteraction which the Russian Federation possesses fully. These forces are repeatedly approved, tested on fact, have rather powerful opportunities, resources and, the main thing, absolute political support of the top management of the country. And any certain field commanders, no individuals are capable to resist to it a priori.