Any western economy doesn't need the war with Iran!
The deputy of the British parliament, the personal parliamentary secretary of the chairman of Chamber of Lords Ben Wallace visited Russia with a brief visit. He told about a position of Great Britain concerning the Iranian crisis and the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan:
- As of Iran, nobody knows how everything will turn out finally and it should worry all of us! As nobody is interested in that America and Iran started to ascertain the relation at all levels: ethnic, religious, cultural. Very important question is what is the role of Russia or Great Britain concerning Iran, also that we can make to solve this problem.
Iran wants to have the nuclear weapon, eventually, to resist to those countries which are round it. Iran is surrounded by very unstable countries as neighbors; it doesn't feel in safety. They don't get on the relations with the Arab states. There is the feeling that they consider that are above the Arabs … It is necessary to understand the psychology of the Iranians, to remember the Persian Empire if want them to understand. It is necessary to understand how they make decisions!
It is in the interests of Britain that the situation improved. It seems to me that Iran is good ally for all of us in the long-term plan. Very educated population, strong middle class, very creative live there; and culturally they highly stand. They want to receive the supremacy of law that the constitution was carried out and they tell about it louder, they protest. There is the debate of the relative secular state: to what extent it can be developed?
After 2009 Iran took steps to totalitarian society and it is worthy of regret. But I hope that further there will be a big political emancipation of the Iranian population. I consider that the political emancipation of Iran is the unique way of its further development.
In 2003 America rejected their offers. They demanded the recognition of own right to develop the nuclear power in the peace purposes and in exchange for it to have the guarantees of safety, non-interference to internal affairs of Iran. It seems to me that today it is necessary to develop the rules which all will respect. And Israel is a player who can help to solve the stability issues. Israel is the nuclear power in the Middle East and it is against the inspectors coming – this question never rose, nobody spoke on this subject. But in any case Israel after all has a nuclear weapon.
And alternative is absolutely awful actions; the hostilities can result in even bigger instability.
I don't believe that Iran or Pakistan will refuse the nuclear arsenals. Strongly I doubt the possibility of it. The former head of MOSSAD said that Iranians are very rational – the matter is not about any mad people whom shown in the American films. They are rational people and they understand that the USA have a leverage to Israel and can wait that Israel can see more optimum exit at some instant, considering the huge stocks of hydrocarbons of Iran, to pass to higher level of cooperation.
Any western economy doesn't need the war. On the contrary, oil and shock are necessary to economy of each western state to which the war will bring and certainly, will be monstrous for economy of all western countries. If we look at a situation in Israel, despite all hawk rhetoric, we observe such situation under a surface at which the Israeli establishment doesn't want the war. Therefore I don't consider the war probable. It is abundantly clear that the world desperately tries to find the solutions of this problem.
The bridge between Europe and the Middle East always passed through Turkey. About 7 million Iranians visit Turkey annually as the tourists; it is very close relations. May be. Turkey and Israel have now not the best times in the relations, but the role of Turkey can be very considerable and it would be absolutely unreasonable not to use its potential.
One more problem is Afghanistan. Afghanistan has such story in which both Russia and Great Britain participated. The question for NATO consists in what measure NATO carries out the tasks and whether the voters in the western states are ready to suffer the presence of this contingent in Afghanistan. It is obviously clear that the electorate has very big problem concerning a situation in Afghanistan and nobody wants to see the zinc coffins. And if to speak with Pashtos, they would speak not about 2014, 2015 or 2016 years …
We have an understanding of that we put huge investments into economy of this country and participate in the vocational training of the Afghan military personnel – many of them passed three - four - five years' preparation. France already declared the withdrawal from Afghanistan, and, it is obvious that we need to make as much as possible by 2015 when Great Britain should leave this country. However, it is obvious that it is necessary to put the political border.
Viewed : 4234 Commented: 0
Author: Vladimir Kuzmenkin
Publication date : 06 September 2012 14:00
Source: The world and we
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